33 reputation
2
bio website
location Munich, Germany
age 30
visits member for 2 years, 3 months
seen Jun 11 '12 at 12:30

Jun
11
comment What term describes the discrepancy in reported intention to vote and actual voting behaviour?
The Iowa Electronic Markets constantly forecast US political outcomes. This market is in 74% of the time better than the polls. 100 days in advance of the predicted event 100% more accurate than polls. (Berg et al. 2008) sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207008000320