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Consider two random variables $E$ and $F$ with the following states: $E$: $c$ - A cooperates, $\neg c$ - A defects $F$: $kc$ - A knows that B cooperated, $k\neg c$ - A knows that B defected PJ Corr claims that: $p(E=\neg c|F=k\neg c)>0.5$ $p(E=\neg c|F=kc)>0.5$ $p(E=\neg c)<0.5$ Then the application of the law of the total probability results ...

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